AP Statistics 2.4 Representing the Relationship Between Two Quantitative Variables- FRQs - Exam Style Questions
Question
predicted weight \( = -350.3 + 3.7455(\text{chest circumference})\)
(i) Using the equation of the least-squares regression line, calculate the predicted weight for this male tule elk. Show your work.
(ii) Calculate the residual for this male tule elk. Show your work.
predicted weight \( = -350.3 + 3.7455(\text{chest circumference})\)
\[
\begin{aligned}
H_0 &: \beta = 4.5 \\
H_a &: \beta \ne 4.5
\end{aligned}
\]
The test statistic was calculated to be \(3.408\). Assume all conditions for inference were met.
(i) Determine the p-value of the test.
(ii) At a significance level of \(\alpha=0.05\), what conclusion should the wildlife biologist make regarding the slope of the population regression line for male tule elk? Justify your response.
Most-appropriate topic codes (CED):
• TOPIC 2.7: Residuals
• TOPIC 2.8: Least Squares Regression
• TOPIC 9.5: Carrying Out a Test for the Slope of a Regression Model
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
There is a strong, positive, and roughly linear relationship between the chest circumference and weight of male tule elk. There are no obvious outliers or influential points that deviate from the linear pattern.
(b)
(i) Predicted weight \( = -350.3 + 3.7455(145.9) \approx -350.3 + 546.47 \approx 196.17\) kg.
\(\boxed{\text{Predicted weight} \approx 196.17 \text{ kg}}\)
(ii) Residual = Actual – Predicted
Residual \( = 204.3 – 196.17 = 8.13\) kg.
\(\boxed{\text{Residual} \approx 8.13 \text{ kg}}\)
(c)
For each additional centimeter of chest circumference, the predicted weight of a male tule elk increases by approximately \(3.7455\) kilograms.
(d)
(i) We need to find the p-value for a t-test statistic of \(3.408\) with degrees of freedom \(df = n-2 = 30-2 = 28\). Since the alternative hypothesis is two-sided (\(H_a: \beta \ne 4.5\)), the p-value is \(2 \times P(t_{28} > 3.408)\).
Using a t-table or calculator, this probability is approximately \(0.002\).
\(\boxed{\text{p-value} \approx 0.002}\)
(ii) Because the p-value (\(\approx 0.002\)) is less than the significance level (\(\alpha=0.05\)), the wildlife biologist should reject the null hypothesis. There is convincing statistical evidence that the slope of the population regression line for male tule elk is different from \(4.5\) kg/cm.
