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AP Statistics 3.8 Potential Errors When Performing Tests- Exam Style Questions - MCQs - New Syllabus

Question 

The probability of a Type II Error decreases when which of the following occur, provided the others do not change?

(A) The sample size decreases.
(B) The significance level (alpha) of the test decreases.
(C) The standard error increases.
(D) The true parameter value is farther from the value in the null hypothesis.
(E) Type I Error decreases.

▶️ Answer/Explanation

A Type II Error occurs when the null hypothesis is false but we fail to reject it. The probability of a Type II Error (\(\beta\)) becomes smaller when it is easier for a test to detect a true difference from the null hypothesis value.

If the true parameter value moves farther away from the value specified in the null hypothesis, the effect becomes larger and easier to detect. This increases the power of the test and therefore decreases the probability of a Type II Error.

In contrast, decreasing sample size, decreasing \(\alpha\), or increasing standard error generally make it harder to detect a true effect and tend to increase \(\beta\).

Answer: (D)

Question 

A statistical test involves the following null and alternative hypotheses.

\(H_0:\mu=64\)

\(H_a:\mu>64\)

Which of the following describes a Type II error?

(A) Failing to reject the null hypothesis when the population mean is 64
(B) Failing to reject the null hypothesis when the population mean is greater than 64
(C) Rejecting the null hypothesis when the population mean is 64
(D) Rejecting the null hypothesis when the population mean is greater than 64
(E) Failing to reject the null hypothesis when the p-value is less than the significance level

▶️ Answer/Explanation

A Type II error occurs when we fail to reject the null hypothesis even though the null hypothesis is false. In this problem:

\(H_0:\mu=64\)
\(H_a:\mu>64\)

A Type II error would happen when the true population mean is actually greater than 64, but the test fails to reject \(H_0\). Choice (B) describes exactly this situation. By contrast, choice (C) describes a Type I error because it involves rejecting a true null hypothesis.
Answer: (B)

Question

A reading specialist at Pleasantville High School suspects that there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school. To test her claim, random samples of 25 senior boys and 25 senior girls were selected. The reading speed of each student was measured. The reading specialist uses the data obtained to test the hypotheses \(H_0:\mu_{\text{boys}}-\mu_{\text{girls}}=0 \) versus \( H_a:\mu_{\text{boys}}-\mu_{\text{girls}}\ne 0 \) where \(\mu_{\text{boys}}\) and \(\mu_{\text{girls}}\) are the true mean reading speed of all senior boys and girls at Pleasantville High School.

Which of the following statements best describes a Type I error?

(A) The reading specialist finds evidence there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school when, in fact, there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls.
(B) The reading specialist fails to find evidence there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school when, in fact, there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls.
(C) The reading specialist fails to find evidence there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school when, in fact, there is no difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls.
(D) The reading specialist finds evidence there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school when, in fact, there is no difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls.
(E) The reading specialist finds evidence there is a difference in the average reading speed between senior boys and senior girls at the high school.

▶️ Answer/Explanation
A Type I error occurs when we reject a true null hypothesis.
The null hypothesis is: \(H_0:\mu_{\text{boys}}-\mu_{\text{girls}}=0\)
This means there is no difference in the average reading speeds of senior boys and senior girls.
A Type I error would therefore occur if the reading specialist concludes that there is a difference (rejects \(H_0\)) when, in reality, there is no difference between the population means.
In context:
Decision: Conclude there is a difference in average reading speed.
Truth: There is actually no difference in average reading speed.
This description matches choice (D).
Answer: (D)
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