AP Statistics 4.2 Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference- Exam Style Questions - FRQs - New Syllabus
Question
i. Identify the appropriate inference procedure for Julio to use.
ii. Describe the parameter for the inference procedure you identified in part (a-i) in context.


ii. Using the \(1.5 \times \text{IQR}\) rule, determine whether there are any outliers in the sample of whistle prices. Justify your response.
i. Calculate Pearson’s coefficient of skewness for Julio’s sample of \(20\) whistle prices. Show your work.
ii. Indicate the value of the Pearson’s coefficient of skewness you calculated in part (c-i) for the appropriate sample size by marking it with an “X” on the preceding graph.• The sample size is greater than or equal to \(30\).
• If the sample size is less than \(30\), the distribution of the sample data is not strongly skewed and does not have outliers.
Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic \(1.8\) — Graphical Representations of Summary Statistics for One Quantitative Variable (Parts \( \mathrm{b} \), \( \mathrm{c} \))
• Topic \(4.2\) — Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Parts \( \mathrm{a} \), \( \mathrm{d} \))
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
i. Julio should use a one-sample \(t\)-interval for a population mean.
ii. The parameter of interest is \(\mu\), the true mean price (in dollars) of this type of whistle at all stores that sell it.
(b)
i. The distribution of the sample of whistle prices is skewed to the right. This is because the mean (\(5.12\)) is greater than the median (\(4.885\)).
ii. \(\text{IQR} = Q_3 – Q_1 = 5.475 – 4.51 = 0.965\).
Lower boundary: \(Q_1 – 1.5(\text{IQR}) = 4.51 – 1.5(0.965) = 3.0625\).
Upper boundary: \(Q_3 + 1.5(\text{IQR}) = 5.475 + 1.5(0.965) = 6.9225\).
Since the minimum value (\(4.25\)) is greater than \(3.0625\) and the maximum value (\(6.58\)) is less than \(6.9225\), there are no outliers in the sample.
(c)
i. \(\text{Pearson’s Coefficient} = \dfrac{3(5.12 – 4.885)}{0.743} \approx 0.949\).
ii. On the graph, you would plot an “X” at a sample size of \(y = 20\) and a skewness coefficient of \(x \approx 0.949\).

(d)
i. We can conclude that the distribution of the sample of whistle prices is strongly skewed. This is justified because the calculated coefficient of \(0.949\) for a sample size of \(20\) falls in the “strongly skewed” region of the provided graph.
ii. No, the normality condition is not satisfied. The sample size (\(n = 20\)) is less than \(30\), and although there are no outliers, the sample data is strongly skewed, failing the second condition.
Question

Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic \(1.6\) — Descriptions for One Quantitative Variable Distributions (Part \( \mathrm{b} \) — checking normality condition)
• Topic \(4.2\) — Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part \( \mathrm{b} \))
• Topic \(4.3\) — Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part \( \mathrm{b} \))
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
From the stemplot, the crows with lead levels greater than \(6.0\) ppm are those with values \(6.3,\ 6.4,\ 6.6,\) and \(6.8\) ppm — that gives us exactly \(4\) crows out of the \(23\) sampled.
$\text{Proportion} = \frac{4}{23} \approx 0.174$
\(\boxed{\dfrac{4}{23} \approx 0.174}\)
(b)
Step 1: Identify the procedure and check conditions.
The appropriate procedure is a one-sample \(t\)-interval for a population mean, using the formula:
$\bar{x} \pm t^* \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}$
Condition 1 — Random sample: The problem states the \(23\) crows were randomly selected, so this condition is met.
Condition 2 — Normality: The sample size of \(23\) is not large enough on its own, so we check the stemplot. The data show no strong skewness and no outliers, so it is reasonable to assume the population distribution of lead levels is approximately normal.
Step 2: Compute the confidence interval.
Given: \(\bar{x} = 4.90\) ppm, \(s = 1.12\) ppm, \(n = 23\)
Degrees of freedom: \(df = n – 1 = 22\)
Critical value at \(95\%\) confidence with \(22\) df: \(t^* = 2.074\)
$4.90 \pm 2.074 \times \frac{1.12}{\sqrt{23}}$
$4.90 \pm 2.074 \times 0.2336$
$4.90 \pm 0.484$
$\boxed{(4.416,\ 5.384) \text{ ppm}}$
Step 3: Interpret the interval.
We are \(95\%\) confident that the true mean lead level among all crows in this region is between \(4.416\) ppm and \(5.384\) ppm.
Question

Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic 4.2 — Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part b)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
When comparing distributions, we address shape, center, spread, and any unusual features:
• Shape: Both distributions of household sizes are strongly skewed to the right (positively skewed).
• Center: The household sizes in 1950 typical center at a higher value than in 2000. The median household size in 1950 is approximately 4 people, whereas the median household size in 2000 has shifted downward to approximately 3 people.
• Spread: Household sizes were more variable in 1950 than in 2000. The total range for 1950 runs from 1 to 14 (a range of 13), while the range for 2000 is slightly narrower, running from 1 to 12 (a range of 11).
• Outliers/Features: Both time periods show a cluster of typical values between 1 and 6 people, but 1950 has a longer tail extending to very large households compared to 2000.
(b)
The conditions required for a two-sample \(t\)-procedure, along with verification, are outlined below:
1. Independent Random Sampling Condition: The data must come from two independent random samples.
• Status: Met. The problem states that “independent random samples of 500 households were taken.”
2. Normality Condition: The populations should be normally distributed, or the sample sizes must be large enough to apply the Central Limit Theorem.
• Status: Met. Even though both histograms show distinct right-skewness, the sample sizes are \(n_{1950} = 500\) and \(n_{2000} = 500\). Since both sample sizes are well above the threshold of 30 (\(500 \ge 30\)), the Central Limit Theorem ensures that the sampling distribution of the difference in sample means is approximately normal.
3. Independence (10% Rule) Condition: The sample sizes should not exceed 10% of their respective population sizes if sampling without replacement.
• Status: Met. It is highly reasonable to assume that 500 households is less than 10% of all available households in a “large metropolitan area” in the United States for both 1950 and 2000.
Question
(a) Are sufficient funds available to estimate the mean stopping distance to within \(2\) feet of the true mean stopping distance with \(95\%\) confidence?
Explain your answer.
Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic 4.1 — Sampling Distributions for Sample Means (Part \(\mathrm{a}\))
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
No, sufficient funds are not available.
To estimate the mean to within a margin of error \(E = 2\) feet with \(95\%\) confidence, we use the sample size formula:
\(n = \left(\frac{z^* \cdot \sigma}{E}\right)^2\)
With \(z^* = 1.96\), \(\sigma = 12\), and \(E = 2\):
\(n = \left(\frac{1.96 \times 12}{2}\right)^2 = \left(\frac{23.52}{2}\right)^2 = (11.76)^2 = 138.3\)
Since sample size must be a whole number, we round up:
\(\boxed{n = 139}\)
The cost of conducting 139 observations would be:
\(139 \times \$100 = \$13{,}900\)
Since \(\$13{,}900 > \$12{,}000\), the budget is insufficient to achieve the desired margin of error.
Alternatively, with a budget of \(\$12{,}000\), the manufacturer can afford at most:
\(n = \frac{\$12{,}000}{\$100} = 120 \text{ observations}\)
The margin of error achievable with \(n = 120\) is:
\(E = 1.96 \times \frac{12}{\sqrt{120}} = 1.96 \times 1.095 \approx 2.15 \text{ feet}\)
Since \(2.15 > 2\), the required precision of \(2\) feet cannot be met with the available budget.
\(\boxed{\text{Sufficient funds are NOT available}}\)
(b)
The two constraints — a \(95\%\) confidence level with a margin of error within \(2\) feet, and a budget cap of \(\$12{,}000\) — are in direct conflict with each other.
Meeting the regulatory agency’s requirement demands at least \(139\) observations, which costs \(\$13{,}900\). The budget of \(\$12{,}000\) only allows \(120\) observations, which yields a margin of error of approximately \(2.15\) feet at the \(95\%\) confidence level.
Since \(2.15 > 2\), the manufacturer cannot simultaneously satisfy both the statistical requirement (within \(2\) feet) and the financial constraint (\(\$12{,}000\) budget).
As a consequence, the car manufacturer will not be able to meet the regulatory agency’s requirements with the allocated budget. Unless the budget is increased to at least \(\$13{,}900\), or the agency relaxes its precision requirement, the manufacturer cannot obtain regulatory approval under the current constraints.
\(\boxed{\text{The manufacturer cannot meet the regulatory requirement within the given budget}}\)
Question

Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic 4.3 — Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part b)
• Topic 1.13 — Experimental Design (Matched-pairs design context)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
Step 1 — Identify the appropriate procedure:
Since the data consist of paired observations (one treated and one untreated seed per container), we use a one-sample \(t\)-confidence interval for the mean of the differences:
\( \bar{d} \pm t^* \cdot \frac{s_d}{\sqrt{n}} \)
Step 2 — Check conditions:
The 24 seeds were randomly chosen and randomly assigned within each container, so the differences are independent. The problem states that graphical displays indicate normality is not unreasonable, so the condition for using a \(t\)-procedure is satisfied.
Step 3 — Compute the interval:
From the computer output: \(\bar{d} = -2.015\), \(s_d = 1.163\), \(n = 12\).
Degrees of freedom: \(df = n – 1 = 11\).
For a 95% confidence interval, the critical value is \(t^* = 2.201\) (from the \(t\)-table with \(df = 11\)).
\( \bar{d} \pm t^* \cdot \frac{s_d}{\sqrt{n}} = -2.015 \pm 2.201 \times \frac{1.163}{\sqrt{12}} \)
\( = -2.015 \pm 2.201 \times 0.336 \)
\( = -2.015 \pm 0.739 \)
\( \boxed{(-2.754,\ -1.276)} \)
Step 4 — Interpret the interval:
We are 95% confident that the true mean difference in growth (untreated minus treated) is between \(-2.754\) cm and \(-1.276\) cm. In other words, on average, the untreated plants grew between about 1.28 cm and 2.75 cm less than the treated plants.
(b)
Step 1 — State the hypotheses (for reference):
\( H_0: \mu_d = 0 \quad \text{vs.} \quad H_a: \mu_d \neq 0 \)
where \(\mu_d\) is the true mean difference in growth between untreated and treated seeds.
Step 2 — Draw the conclusion:
Yes, there is sufficient evidence of a significant mean difference in growth. The 95% confidence interval \((-2.754,\ -1.276)\) does not contain zero. Since zero — the value that would indicate no difference — falls entirely outside the interval, we can reject \(H_0\) at the \(\alpha = 0.05\) significance level. The data provide convincing statistical evidence that the additive treatment produces greater growth than the control, with treated plants growing meaningfully taller on average.
Question
Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic 4.4 — Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part b)
• Topic 4.5 — Carrying Out a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part b)
• Topic 4.2 — Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part c)
• Topic 4.3 — Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Parts c, d)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
The appropriate procedure is a one-sample \(t\)-interval for the population mean \(\mu\).
Conditions:
— The data come from a random sample of 50 people.
— \(\sigma\) is unknown; using the sample standard deviation \(s = 15\).
— \(n = 50 \geq 30\), so by the Central Limit Theorem the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\) is approximately normal.
Given: \(\bar{x} = 24\), \(s = 15\), \(n = 50\), and \(df = 49\). For a 95% confidence interval, \(t^* \approx 2.009\) (using \(df = 49\)).
The confidence interval formula is:
\(\bar{x} \pm t^* \cdot \dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\)
\(24 \pm 2.009 \cdot \dfrac{15}{\sqrt{50}}\)
\(24 \pm 2.009 \times 2.121\)
\(24 \pm 4.262\)
\(\boxed{(19.738,\ 28.262) \text{ mg/dl}}\)
Interpretation: We are 95% confident that the true population mean reduction in cholesterol level after one month of use of the new drug is between approximately 19.7 mg/dl and 28.3 mg/dl.
(b)
The confidence interval and the hypothesis test led to different conclusions because they are based on different types of procedures that correspond to different questions being asked.
The 95% two-sided confidence interval is equivalent to a two-sided hypothesis test at \(\alpha = 0.05\). The two-sided \(p\)-value for testing \(H_0: \mu = 20\) against \(H_a: \mu \neq 20\) would be \(2 \times 0.033 = 0.066\), which exceeds \(\alpha = 0.05\) — hence the confidence interval (which captures values consistent with a two-sided test) includes 20 and fails to reject \(H_0\) at the 0.05 level.
The hypothesis test, however, is one-sided (\(H_a: \mu > 20\)) with a one-sided \(p\)-value of \(0.033 < 0.05\), which leads to rejecting \(H_0\). A one-sided test is more powerful in the direction specified and uses only one tail of the distribution. The two procedures are therefore testing different things, and it is the mismatch — using a two-sided interval to evaluate a one-sided hypothesis — that creates the apparent contradiction in conclusions.
\(\boxed{\text{Two-sided CI} \leftrightarrow \text{two-sided test (}p = 0.066 > 0.05\text{)}; \quad \text{one-sided test: }p = 0.033 < 0.05}\)
(c)
For a one-sided 95% confidence interval, we need to find \(t^*\) such that 95% of the \(t\)-distribution with \(df = 49\) lies above \(-t^*\) (i.e., only one tail of area 0.05).
This corresponds to a tail probability of \(p = 0.05\) (one tail) with \(df = 49\). From the \(t\)-table:
\(\boxed{t^* = 1.676 \quad (df = 49,\ \text{one tail}, \ \alpha = 0.05)}\)
Now compute \(L\):
\(L = \bar{x} – t^* \cdot \dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 24 – 1.676 \cdot \dfrac{15}{\sqrt{50}}\)
\(= 24 – 1.676 \times 2.121\)
\(= 24 – 3.555\)
\(\boxed{L \approx 20.4 \text{ mg/dl}}\)
Interpretation: We are 95% confident that the true mean reduction in cholesterol level after one month of use of the new drug is greater than approximately 20.4 mg/dl.
(d)
Yes, the regulatory agency would have reached a different conclusion using the one-sided confidence interval. The one-sided interval shows that the agency can be 95% confident that the true mean reduction is greater than \(L \approx 20.4\) mg/dl, which is already above the threshold of 20 mg/dl required for recommendation. Since the entire range of plausible values for \(\mu\) under the one-sided interval lies above 20, the agency would have had convincing evidence that the new drug reduces cholesterol by more than 20 mg/dl on average — and would therefore have recommended the drug for use.
\(\boxed{L \approx 20.4 > 20 \Rightarrow \text{Yes, different conclusion: agency would recommend the drug}}\)
Question


Most-appropriate topic codes (AP Statistics):
• Topic 1.9 — Comparisons of the Distributions for One Quantitative Variable (Part a)
• Topic 4.2 — Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part b)
• Topic 4.4 — Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference (Part c)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
(a)
First, we check for outliers in each sample using the \(1.5 \times \text{IQR}\) rule.
Modern Thai Dogs:
\(\text{IQR} = Q_3 – Q_1 = 128 – 121 = 7\)
Lower fence: \(121 – 1.5(7) = 121 – 10.5 = 110.5\)
Upper fence: \(128 + 1.5(7) = 128 + 10.5 = 138.5\)
All values (minimum = 114, maximum = 132) fall within these fences. No outliers.
Golden Jackals:
\(\text{IQR} = Q_3 – Q_1 = 112 – 107 = 5\)
Lower fence: \(107 – 1.5(5) = 107 – 7.5 = 99.5\)
Upper fence: \(112 + 1.5(5) = 112 + 7.5 = 119.5\)
Values 122, 124, and 125 exceed the upper fence of 119.5. Outliers: 122, 124, 125.
The parallel boxplots (with the scale from 100 to 140 mm) are shown below:

Comparison of distributions: The distributions of mandible lengths for modern Thai dogs and golden jackals are quite different. Modern Thai dogs have a much larger typical mandible length — a median of 125 mm — compared to golden jackals, whose median is only 108 mm. The distribution for modern Thai dogs appears approximately symmetric with no outliers, whereas the distribution for golden jackals is heavily skewed to the right, with three high outliers (122, 124, and 125 mm). The variability (spread) of the two distributions is roughly similar in terms of IQR, but the overall range for golden jackals is larger once the outliers are included.
(b)
Yes, it is reasonable to construct a \(t\)-confidence interval for the mean mandible length of modern Thai dogs. The boxplot for this sample is roughly symmetric with no outliers, which provides support for the assumption that the underlying population distribution is approximately normal. Since the data come from a random sample and the normality condition is reasonably satisfied even with a sample size of only 16, using a one-sample \(t\)-interval is appropriate here.
(c)
No, it would not be reasonable to perform a two-sample \(t\)-test using both groups. While the modern Thai dog sample looks approximately normal, the golden jackal sample is clearly not. The boxplot for golden jackals is strongly skewed to the right and contains three high outliers (122, 124, 125) in a sample of only 16 animals — a substantial proportion of the data. With such a small sample size, the \(t\)-test is not robust enough to overcome this serious departure from normality, so the normality condition required for the two-sample \(t\)-test is not reasonably met for the golden jackal population. Therefore, performing the two-sample \(t\)-test with this data would not be appropriate.
