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AP Statistics 6.3 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Proportion- MCQs - Exam Style Questions

Question

A biologist studying trees constructed the confidence interval \((0.14, 0.20)\) to estimate the proportion of trees in a large forest that are dead but still standing. Using the same confidence level, the interval was later revised because the sample proportion had been miscalculated. The correct sample proportion was \(0.27\). Which of the following statements about the revised interval based on the correct sample proportion is true?
(A) The revised interval is narrower than the original interval because the correct sample proportion is farther from \(0.5\) than the miscalculated proportion is.
(B) The revised interval is narrower than the original interval because the correct sample proportion is closer to \(0.5\) than the miscalculated proportion is.
(C) The revised interval is wider than the original interval because the correct sample proportion is farther from \(0.5\) than the miscalculated proportion is.
(D) The revised interval is wider than the original interval because the correct sample proportion is closer to \(0.5\) than the miscalculated proportion is.
(E) The revised interval has the same width as the original interval.
▶️ Answer/Explanation
Detailed solution

For a one–sample proportion interval at a fixed confidence level,
\[ \hat{p} \pm z^* \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}\,(1-\hat{p})}{n}}. \] The width is \(2z^*\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\). With the same confidence level and the same sample size, \(z^*\) and \(n\) are unchanged.
The only change is \(\hat{p}\): originally \(\hat{p}_{\text{orig}} = \) midpoint of \((0.14,0.20)=0.17\); revised \(\hat{p}_{\text{rev}}=0.27\).
The function \(\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})\) is maximized at \(\hat{p}=0.5\) and increases as \(\hat{p}\) moves closer to \(0.5\).
Since \(0.27\) is closer to \(0.5\) than \(0.17\), we have \[ \hat{p}_{\text{rev}}(1-\hat{p}_{\text{rev}}) > \hat{p}_{\text{orig}}(1-\hat{p}_{\text{orig}}), \] so the standard error and the margin of error are larger, making the revised interval wider than the original.
Answer: (D)

Question

From a random sample of \(1{,}005\) adults in the United States, it was found that \(32\%\) own an e-reader. Which of the following is the appropriate \(90\%\) confidence interval to estimate the proportion of all adults in the United States who own an e-reader?
(A) \(0.32 \pm 1.960\!\left(\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{\sqrt{1{,}005}}\right)\)
(B) \(0.32 \pm 1.645\!\left(\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{\sqrt{1{,}005}}\right)\)
(C) \(0.32 \pm 2.575\!\sqrt{\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{1{,}005}}\)
(D) \(0.32 \pm 1.960\!\sqrt{\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{1{,}005}}\)
(E) \(0.32 \pm 1.645\!\sqrt{\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{1{,}005}}\)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
Detailed solution
For a one-sample proportion, the \(90\%\) confidence interval is \[ \hat{p}\ \pm\ z\,\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}\,(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\, . \]
Here \( \hat{p}=0.32,\ n=1005,\ z=1.645 \) (for \(90\%\)).
The only choice using the correct critical value and placing the square root over the entire fraction is \[ \boxed{\,0.32 \pm 1.645\sqrt{\dfrac{(0.32)(0.68)}{1{,}005}}\,}. \]
Answer: (E)
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