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AP Statistics 4.9 Combining Random Variables- MCQs - Exam Style Questions

Question

Sean and Evan are college roommates who have part-time jobs as servers in restaurants. The distribution of Sean’s weekly income is approximately normal with mean \(\$225\) and standard deviation \(\$25\). The distribution of Evan’s weekly income is approximately normal with mean \(\$240\) and standard deviation \(\$15\). Assuming their weekly incomes are independent of each other, which of the following is closest to the probability that Sean will have a greater income than Evan in a randomly selected week?
(A) \(0.067\)
(B) \(0.159\)
(C) \(0.227\)
(D) \(0.303\)
(E) \(0.354\)
▶️ Answer/Explanation
Detailed solution

Let \(S\sim \mathcal N(225,25)\) and \(E\sim \mathcal N(240,15)\), independent. Consider \(S-E\).
Then \(S-E \sim \mathcal N\!\big(\mu_S-\mu_E,\ \sqrt{\sigma_S^2+\sigma_E^2}\big) = \mathcal N\!\big(-15,\ \sqrt{25^2+15^2}\big) = \mathcal N\!\big(-15,\ \sqrt{850}\big).\)
We want \(P(S>E)=P(S-E>0)\). Standardize: \[ z=\frac{0-(-15)}{\sqrt{850}}=\frac{15}{\sqrt{850}}\approx \frac{15}{29.154}\approx 0.515. \] Thus \(P(S>E)=P(Z>0.515)=1-\Phi(0.515)\approx 1-0.697\approx 0.303.\)
Answer: (D)

Why others are wrong (common mistakes):
(A), (B), (C), (E) come from using an incorrect standard deviation (e.g., subtracting or adding \(25\) and \(15\), or using one of them alone) rather than \(\sqrt{25^2+15^2}\).

Question

High school students from track teams in the state participated in a training program to improve running times. Before the training, the mean running time for the students to run a mile was \(402\) seconds with standard deviation \(40\) seconds. After completing the program, the mean running time for the students to run a mile was \(368\) seconds with standard deviation \(30\) seconds. Let \(X\) represent the running time of a randomly selected student before training, and let \(Y\) represent the running time of the same student after training. Which of the following is true about the distribution of \(X-Y\)?
(A) The variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent; therefore, the mean is \(34\) seconds and the standard deviation is \(10\) seconds.
(B) The variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent; therefore, the mean is \(34\) seconds and the standard deviation is \(50\) seconds.
(C) The variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are not independent; therefore, the standard deviation is \(50\) seconds and the mean cannot be determined with the information given.
(D) The variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are not independent; therefore, the mean is \(34\) seconds and the standard deviation cannot be determined with the information given.
(E) The variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are not independent; therefore, neither the mean nor the standard deviation can be determined with the information given.
▶️ Answer/Explanation
Detailed solution

Let \(X\) = time before training, \(Y\) = time after training for the same student, so \(X\) and \(Y\) are dependent (paired).
Mean of a difference: \(\mu_{X-Y}=\mu_X-\mu_Y=402-368=34\) seconds.
Standard deviation of a difference: \(\sigma_{X-Y}=\sqrt{\sigma_X^2+\sigma_Y^2-2\operatorname{Cov}(X,Y)}\).
Because the covariance \(\operatorname{Cov}(X,Y)\) is unknown (and not \(0\) since the variables are not independent), \(\sigma_{X-Y}\) cannot be determined from the given information.
(If \(X\) and \(Y\) were independent, one would get \(\sqrt{40^2+30^2}=50\) seconds, but independence is false here.)
Answer: (D)

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