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Edexcel IAL - Statistics 1- 5.2 Probability and Cumulative Distribution Functions- Study notes  - New syllabus

Edexcel IAL – Statistics 1- 5.2 Probability and Cumulative Distribution Functions -Study notes- New syllabus

Edexcel IAL – Statistics 1- 5.2 Probability and Cumulative Distribution Functions -Study notes -Edexcel A level Maths- per latest Syllabus.

Key Concepts:

  • 5.2 Probability and Cumulative Distribution Functions

Edexcel IAL Maths-Study Notes- All Topics

Probability Function and Cumulative Distribution Function

For a discrete random variable \( X \), probabilities are described using a probability function and a cumulative distribution function. These functions allow probabilities of individual values and ranges of values to be calculated.

Probability Function

The probability function of a discrete random variable \( X \) is defined by

\( p(x) = P(X = x) \)

The probability function must satisfy:

\( p(x) \geq 0 \) for all possible values of \( x \)

\( \sum p(x) = 1 \)

Probabilities may be given in a table or by a formula.

Cumulative Distribution Function

The cumulative distribution function (cdf) of \( X \) is defined by

\( F(x_0) = P(X \leq x_0) = \sum_{x \leq x_0} p(x) \)

The cumulative distribution function:

  • Is non-decreasing
  • Satisfies \( 0 \leq F(x) \leq 1 \)
  • Increases in steps for a discrete random variable

Using \( p(x) \) and \( F(x) \)

Once \( p(x) \) is known, probabilities such as

  • \( P(X = a) \)
  • \( P(X \leq b) \)
  • \( P(a < X \leq b) \)

can be found using either the probability function or the cumulative distribution function.

Example :

A discrete random variable \( X \) has the probability function shown below:

\( p(x) = \dfrac{x}{10}, \quad x = 1, 2, 3, 4 \)

Find \( P(X = 3) \).

▶️ Answer/Explanation

\( P(X = 3) = p(3) = \dfrac{3}{10} \)

Conclusion: \( P(X = 3) = \dfrac{3}{10} \).

Example :

Using the probability function from Example 1, find \( P(X \leq 2) \).

▶️ Answer/Explanation

Using the cumulative distribution function:

\( F(2) = p(1) + p(2) = \dfrac{1}{10} + \dfrac{2}{10} = \dfrac{3}{10} \)

Conclusion: \( P(X \leq 2) = \dfrac{3}{10} \).

Example :

A discrete random variable \( X \) has cumulative distribution function

\( F(1) = 0.2,\; F(2) = 0.5,\; F(3) = 1 \)

Find \( P(X = 2) \).

▶️ Answer/Explanation

For a discrete random variable:

\( P(X = 2) = F(2) – F(1) \)

\( = 0.5 – 0.2 = 0.3 \)

Conclusion: \( P(X = 2) = 0.3 \).

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