Home / IB Mathematics SL 4.8 Binomial distribution. Mean and variance-AI SL Paper 1- Exam Style Questions

IB Mathematics SL 4.8 Binomial distribution. Mean and variance-AI SL Paper 1- Exam Style Questions- New Syllabus

Question

Biological inheritance determines the physical traits of offspring, such as eye colour. Maria and Alex are planning to have a family of \( 5 \) children. Based on their genetic profiles, the probability that any one of their children will have brown eyes is \( 0.75 \). It is assumed that the eye colour of each child is independent of their siblings.
The couple wishes to model the number of children in their family who will have brown eyes using a probability distribution.
(a) Apart from independence, state one other condition that must be satisfied for the number of children with brown eyes to follow a binomial distribution.
(b) Calculate the probability that:
(i) exactly \( 3 \) of the \( 5 \) children have brown eyes.
(ii) at least \( 4 \) of the \( 5 \) children have brown eyes.

Most appropriate topic codes (IB Mathematics: applications and interpretation):

SL 4.8: Binomial distribution: Situations where it is a suitable model — part (a)
SL 4.8: Calculation of binomial probabilities using technology — part (b)
▶️ Answer/Explanation

(a)
One of the following:
• The number of trials is fixed (5 children).
• There are only two outcomes for each child: brown eyes or not brown eyes.
• The probability of brown eyes is constant for each child (0.75).
\(\boxed{\text{Fixed number of trials}}\) or equivalent.

(b)(i)
Let \(X \sim B(5, 0.75)\).
\(P(X = 3) = \binom{5}{3} (0.75)^3 (0.25)^2\)
\(= 10 \times 0.421875 \times 0.0625 = 0.263671875\)
\(\approx 0.264 \quad \text{(to 3 s.f.)}\)
\(\boxed{0.264}\)

(b)(ii)
\(P(X \geq 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)\)
\(P(X = 4) = \binom{5}{4} (0.75)^4 (0.25)^1 = 5 \times 0.31640625 \times 0.25 = 0.3955078125\)
\(P(X = 5) = (0.75)^5 = 0.2373046875\)
\(P(X \geq 4) = 0.3955078125 + 0.2373046875 = 0.6328125\)
\(\approx 0.633 \quad \text{(to 3 s.f.)}\)
\(\boxed{0.633}\)

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