Home / IBDP Maths SL 4.1 Concepts of population, sample AA HL Paper 2- Exam Style Questions

IBDP Maths SL 4.1 Concepts of population, sample AA HL Paper 2- Exam Style Questions- New Syllabus

Question

A supermarket analyses the weekly shopping habits of its customers. Let \( X \) represent the number of times a customer visits the supermarket in a week. The probability distribution of \( X \) is given below.
\[ \begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline x & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & \geq 6 \\ \hline P(X = x) & 1.5a & 2a & 0.281 & a & 0.026 & 0 \\ \hline \end{array} \]
(a) (i) Determine the value of \( a \).
(ii) Write down the mode of \( X \).
(b) Calculate the mean of \( X \).
The manager surveys the first 50 customers to arrive on a particular day to understand their reasons for shopping at the supermarket.
(c) Identify the sampling method used by the manager.
Circle your answer.
Simple random / Systematic / Convenience / Quota / Stratified

Most-appropriate topic codes (IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches HL 2025):

SL 4.1: Discrete data, probability distributions — parts (a) and (b)
SL 4.5: Probability of events, expected value — part (b)
SL 4.7: Discrete random variables, expected value — part (b)
SL 4.1: Sampling techniques — part (c)
▶️ Answer/Explanation

(a)(i)
The sum of all probabilities in a distribution must equal 1.
\( 1.5a + 2a + 0.281 + a + 0.026 = 1 \)
\( 4.5a + 0.307 = 1 \)
\( 4.5a = 0.693 \)
\( a = \frac{0.693}{4.5} = 0.154 \)
\( \boxed{a = 0.154} \)

(a)(ii)
Mode is the value of \( x \) with the highest probability.
Probabilities: \( P(X=1) = 1.5 \times 0.154 = 0.231 \) \( P(X=2) = 2 \times 0.154 = 0.308 \) \( P(X=3) = 0.281 \) \( P(X=4) = 0.154 \) \( P(X=5) = 0.026 \)
The highest probability is \( 0.308 \) when \( x = 2 \).
\( \boxed{\text{Mode} = 2} \)

(b)
Mean \( = E(X) = \sum x \cdot P(X=x) \):
\( E(X) = 1 \times 0.231 + 2 \times 0.308 + 3 \times 0.281 + 4 \times 0.154 + 5 \times 0.026 \)
\( = 0.231 + 0.616 + 0.843 + 0.616 + 0.13 \)
\( = 2.436 \)
To three significant figures:
\( \boxed{\text{Mean} = 2.44} \)

(c)
The manager surveys the first 50 customers to arrive—this is easily accessible and based on convenience, not random selection.
\( \boxed{\text{Convenience sampling}} \)

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