IBDP Economics HL – The global economy – Sustainable development -Paper 2 Exam Style Practice Questions
Sustainable development Paper 2?
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Exam Style Question for IBDP Economics HL - Sustainable development -Paper 2
The World Bank reports on economic growth in Kenya
- The World Bank’s recent overview of Kenya has given a positive assessment of Kenya’s growth prospects, based on domestic and international factors. The East African nation of Kenya has a population of approximately 46.1 million, which increases by an estimated one million per year. The World Bank projected 5.9 % economic growth in 2016, rising to 6 % in 2017. This positive outlook is based on continued low oil prices, growth in the agricultural sector, expansionary monetary policy and ongoing infrastructure investments.
- The World Bank has identified other key contributing factors to Kenya’s short-term growth. These include an expanding services sector, higher levels of construction, currency stability, low inflation, a growing middle-class and rising incomes, a surge in remittances (money sent by a foreign worker to their home country) and increased public investment in energy and transportation.
- Tourism, information and communications and public administration are among the sectors that have registered the highest growth. Inflation has been at an average of 6.3 %, which is within the Kenyan central bank’s target range.
- The World Bank also predicted that, of 82 countries investigated, Kenya would have the highest long-term growth and that its real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2050 should be seven times larger than it is today. Fast population growth, a modest improvement in the business environment, urbanization and fast-growing neighbouring countries are all contributing factors to the positive prediction.
- While the growing Kenyan economy is creating more jobs now than in the past, these are mainly in the informal services sector and are low productivity jobs. 9 million young people will join the labour market in the next 10 years. Given the scarcity of formal sector jobs, they will continue to find jobs in the informal sector. These jobs are usually in very small businesses, often run from homes.
- The World Bank suggests that there is a need to increase the productivity of jobs in the informal sector. It says that this could be achieved by increasing work-related skills through training schemes, increasing communication and learning between formal and informal firms, and helping small-scale firms to become suppliers for firms in the formal sector. To create more and higher-skilled jobs, it is also essential to reduce the cost of doing business.
- According to the World Bank, Kenya has made significant structural and economic reforms that have contributed to sustained economic growth in the past decade. However, economic growth does not always mean economic development. The main development challenges facing Kenya include poverty, inequality, climate change, low commodity prices and the vulnerability of the economy to internal and external shocks.
Question
Explain the difference between economic growth and economic development (paragraph [7]).
▶️Answer/Explanation
Responses may include:
- growth is increase in real GDP
- development is measure of well-being/standard of living/welfare
- GDP single indicator/measures only income (quantitative)
- development is composite (qualitative) / made up of multiple measures such as literacy rates, access to clean water, life expectancy, years of schooling, level of gender equality.
Text D — Overview of Malawi
- Malawi is a landlocked country in southern Africa. Its development plans contain 169 targets, based on the Sustainable Development Goals. Ineffective institutions and inequalities, however, make it difficult to reach every target. Although poverty in urban areas has declined, the level of absolute poverty has been increasing in rural areas where 85 % of the population lives. Causes of poverty include land degradation (80 % of the land is eroded or lacks nutrients), poor healthcare and rapid population growth. There is also a lack of human capital, which is often due to the difficulties that households have in obtaining loans for education or training. Approximately 75 % of households do not have access to formal banking services.
- Aid agencies are providing assistance. The World Bank’s Human Capital Project will increase investment and encourage reforms, such as promoting the education of teenage girls. In 2020, the World Bank also approved US$157 million (50 % as a loan and 50 % as a grant) for a government project. This project aims to increase sustainable land management practices and build water-related infrastructure, such as small dams and irrigation schemes.
- The government has encouraged the establishment of microfinance groups that act as rural banks. They provide some finance and guidance for programmes that introduce new types of crops and techniques in order to improve agricultural efficiency.
- Although 2019 was a difficult year due to drought, insect infestations, and a tropical cyclone, Malawi’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.5 %. There is a large budget deficit and the amount of government debt (at approximately 60 % of GDP) is considered to be too high. Therefore, the government has announced plans to reduce its spending. Inflation had been forecast to increase to 14 % in 2020. Due to the planned contractionary fiscal policies, however, inflation may fall below 10 % from 2021 onwards.
- Export revenues account for over 30 % of GDP. Malawi aims to increase its exports of cotton, nuts, tea and sugar. Rising exports and lower fuel import prices could reduce the current account deficit. Despite the persistent trade deficit, Malawi is resisting calls for further trade protection. It has signed bilateral trade agreements with both South Africa and Zimbabwe. Tariffs are gradually being reduced, while other indirect and direct taxes are being raised.
Text E — Agricultural Production
- Approximately 80 % of the labour force is employed in agriculture, with few job opportunities available in manufacturing and services. Agricultural productivity is low for many reasons. The government promotes manufacturing industries and cultivation of crops for export by large-scale farms. However, small-scale and subsistence farmers have received little support in the past. Farmers use less fertilizer and irrigation than is typical in other countries. Only 3 % of cultivated land is irrigated, compared to the global average of 21 %. Other challenges are the inadequate road and rail links to markets and the limited availability of electricity and fuel.
- Maize is the most important staple food in Malawi. The government uses price controls when trying to ensure that maize is available at affordable prices for low-income households. However, the maximum price set by the government is often too low to persuade farmers to supply the maize or to provide them with sufficient revenue. In 2020, the maximum price was raised from 250 to 310 kwacha per kilogram. Even at the higher price, shortages remain.
- The government is planning to invest in commercial agriculture to improve productivity and promote diversification. The 2020 budget includes subsidies on fertilizer for 4.3 million small-scale farmers, which could possibly double maize output but may also pollute waterways. The support given to farmers will improve the nutrition of Malawians and stimulate the rural economy.
Text F — Tobacco Exports
Tobacco is Malawi’s major export, providing over 50 % of foreign currency earnings. Due to lower global demand and the purchasing policies of multinational tobacco firms, prices paid to farmers in Malawi are low and falling. To reduce costs, farmers resort to using child labour. Following allegations of labour exploitation, the United States has restricted tobacco imports from Malawi. There is concern that other importing countries might also impose restrictions.
Question
List two of the Sustainable Development Goals (Text D, paragraph [1]).
▶️Answer/Explanation
GOAL 2: Zero Hunger
GOAL 3: Good Health / Well-being
GOAL 4: Quality Education
GOAL 5: Gender Equality
GOAL 6: Clean Water /Sanitation
GOAL 7: Affordable / Clean Energy
GOAL 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth
GOAL 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
GOAL 11: Sustainable Cities/Communities
GOAL 14: Life Below Water
GOAL 15: Life on Land
GOAL 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions